Even though citizens in India are seen flocking to hill stations and other tourist spots thinking the worst is over, Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) scientists have issued a warning about the third wave of Covid-19 in the coming days. The third wave may bring about further devastation.
According to a report by India Today, Professor Samiran Panda, director of the ICMR’s epidemiology and communicable diseases division and a leading scientist at the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), predicted that a third wave is likely to hit India by the end of August with more than 1 lakh cases daily. He also stated that devastation far worse than the second wave would occur if the virus mutates more than it already has. However, if it doesn’t, the situation is likely to be as similar as the first wave that came in 2020.
Imperial College London and ICMR worked together on mathematical modelling to arrive at this particular prediction. Professor Panda also stated that the loosening of restrictions and low vaccination rates might also fuel an increased positivity rate.
Professor Panda said that non-pharmacological interventions, like avoiding mass gatherings and wearing masks, will help contain the spread of the infection. He also stressed minimised travel as it causes population density shifts.
He also cited an ICMR research that showed that 86 per cent of breakthrough infections were caused by the Delta variant and thus asserted the importance of getting vaccinated as it would reduce the infection’s lethality and make the third wave less dangerous.